Avalanche Forecasts

The regional avalanche forecast is issued by local meteorological experts and is there to provide you with specific indicators of likely risk.  The local forecast is created by the piste patrol based on their experience of the mountain.  There may be a difference.  I would be guided whichever is the highest level warning.

The local forecast is created early in the morning and will be published on noticeboards around the ski area.  The regional forecast is created the prior evening and published on the web (see links below).  Links to the bulletins are click here

These avalanche forecasts tell you about snow stability:  reading the avalanche forecast is essential to understand the risks for the day.  It includes a danger rating.  To use the avalanche forecast, you must understand the definition for the ratings.   This table is carefully worded, read it in detail and this will help you to know how to conduct yourself off piste.

Click on the blue buttons to hear Henry describe each rating

Danger/Risk level

 Click to listen

Snow stability

Probability you can trigger an avalanche

 1 Low

Very few unstable slabs. The snow pack is well bonded and stable in most places [1].

Triggering is possible generally only with high additional loads[2] on a very  few very steep slopes[4]. Only a few small natural[6] avalanches (sluffs) possible.

 2 Moderate

Unstable slabs possible on some steep[3] slopes[1]

Triggering is possible with high additional loads[2], particularly on the steep[3] slopes indicated in the bulletin. Large natural[6] avalanches not likely.

 3 Considerable

Unstable slabs probable on some steep[3] slopes [1].

Triggering is possible, sometimes even with low additional loads[2]. The bulletin may indicate many slopes which are particularly affected. In certain conditions, medium and occasionally large sized natural[6] avalanches may occur.

 4 high

Unstable slabs likely on many steep [3] slopes

Triggering is probable even with low additional loads[2] on many steep[3] slopes. In some conditions, frequent medium or large sized natural[6] avalanches are likely. Triggering and exposure to avalanches is possible on many lower angle slopes [1].

 5 very high

The snowpack is weakly bonded and very unstable

Numerous large natural[6] avalanches are likely to reach low angle slopes. Extensive safety measures (closures and evacuation) are necessary. No off-piste or back country skiing or travel should be undertaken due to a high risk of exposure.

Notes

  1. These places or slopes are generally described in more detail in the avalanche bulletin (e.g. altitude, slope aspect, type of slope/terrain, etc.).
  2. High additional load is group of skiers, piste-machine, avalanche blasting.  Low additional load is a single skier, walker.
  3. Steep slopes are those with an incline of more than 30 degrees
  4. Steep extreme slope are those which are particularly unfavourable in terms of the incline, terrain profile, proximity to ridge, smoothness of underlying ground surface.
  5. Aspect is the direction the slope faces. e.g. if you have your back to the slope and you faces south,  the aspect is south facing
  6. Natural means without human assistance.

Avalanche Bulletins

You also need to get an idea of where the instability is most acute on that particular day.  The avalanche forecast and bulletins include this dnager rating, but they also give ourt a lot of valuable information.  Study these every day.  We do this every day before we go out.

English translations on Piste Hors

Northern Alps
Haute Savoie Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT74.htm
Savoie Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT73.htm
Isere Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT38.htm
Southern Alps
Hautes-Alpes Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT05.htm
Haute-Provence Avalanche Bulletin (he's made a mistake on this one and i've told him)
Alpes Maritimes Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT06.htm
Corsica
Haute Corse Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT2B.htm
Corse du Sud Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT2B.htm
Pyrénées
Pyrénées Atlantiques Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT65.htm
Hautes Pyrénées Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT65.htm
Haute Garonne Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT31.htm
Ariège Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT31.htm
Andorra Avalanche Bulletin: http://pistehors.com/wap/ANDORRE.htm
Pyrénées Orientales Avalanche Bulletin http://pistehors.com/wap/DEPT66.htm

French (original text) versions from Meteo France

Alpes du Nord
Southern Alps
Corsica
Pyrénées

North America Scale

This follows similar principles and can be used in the same way.  The defintiions are slightly different.